Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Haka had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.