Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.