Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.