Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.