Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Peter Haring 11' yellowcard
  • Yutaro Oda 14' goal
  • Frankie Kent 30' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 32' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 56' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 64' goal
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 25'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 61'

Hearts vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 3.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 2 Hibernian
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Bojan Miovski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 39.87% (+0.14)
Draw 25.21% (+0.03)
Aberdeen 34.91% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.78% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.17% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 46.83% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 30.91% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.08% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.31% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.69% (+0.09)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.77% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.22% (-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 74.01% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 25.98% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 38.99% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 61% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Hearts 39.87%
Draw 25.21%
Aberdeen 34.91%
Hearts
1-0 @ 8.82% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Josh Ginnelly 43' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 56' goal
  • goal Matthew Pollock 31'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Luis Lopes 5' goal
  • Luis Lopes 21' goal
  • Matthew Pollock 28' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Graeme Shinnie 15' goal
  • Michael Smith 28' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 40' goal
  • Josh Ginnelly 45'+1' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 61' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luis Lopes 74' goal
  • Vicente Besuijen 79' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • John Souttar 38' goal
  • Stephen Kingsley 60' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 37'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marley Watkins 49' goal
  • Ross McCrorie 59' yellowcard
  • Lewis Ferguson 69' goal
  • Dean Campbell 82' yellowcard
  • goal John Souttar 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ben Woodburn 61'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 86'
  • redcard Andy Halliday 89'