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Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts logo

Dundee
1 - 0
Hearts

McCowan (63')
Beck (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oda (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-2 PAOK
Thursday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
47.65% (0.478 0.48)24.38% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)27.97% (-0.398 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (0.085000000000001 0.09)45.91% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (0.084 0.08)68.22% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (0.233 0.23)19.36% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (0.38 0.38)51.15% (-0.377 -0.38)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.247 -0.25)30.07% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.298 -0.3)66.2% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 47.65%
    Hearts 27.97%
    Draw 24.37%
DundeeDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts

Dundee
5.9%
Draw
29.4%
Hearts
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-1
Dundee
Souttar (37')
Halkett (30'), Woodburn (34')
Cummings (83')
Legzdins (38'), Sweeney (53'), McGhee (59'), Adam (69'), Mullen (90+6')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-1
Dundee
Halliday (35'), Gnanduillet (58')
Haring (90+4')
Cummings (63' pen.)
Ashcroft (54'), McMullan (84')
Jan 2, 2021 7.20pm
Gameweek 11
Dundee
3-1
Hearts
McGhee (14'), Mullen (36'), Afolabi (84' pen.)
Byrne (2'), Adam (76')
Irving (56')
Irving (80'), (83')
rhs 2.0


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