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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Kiltie (59' pen.), Greive (76')
Strain (34'), Robinson (35'), Hemming (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hayes (42'), Miovski (90+10' pen.)
Lopes (71'), Rubezic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
41.92% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)25.38% (0.155 0.15)32.7% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.61% (-0.439 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (-0.607 -0.61)48.08% (0.605 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (-0.558 -0.56)70.25% (0.55800000000001 0.56)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.455 -0.45)22.83% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.675 -0.67)56.55% (0.675 0.67)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)27.94% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.181 -0.18)63.56% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 41.92%
    Aberdeen 32.7%
    Draw 25.38%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.7%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Aberdeen
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Aberdeen
3-0
St Mirren
Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')

Gogic (59')
Small (30')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Kennedy (9')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')
Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Aberdeen
0-0
St Mirren
Bates (71')
Erhahon (28'), Kiltie (80')