Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cameron Devlin 71' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Slattery 29'
  • yellowcard Paul McGinn 36'
  • redcard Paul McGinn 69'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 71'
  • yellowcard Oli Shaw 90'

Hearts vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Theo Bair

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result

Hearts 36.6% (+0.96)
Draw 24.73% (-0.06)
Motherwell 38.68% (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.73% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.61% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 44.4% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 33.24% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 66.77% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 83.04% (-0.24)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 76.1% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 23.91% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 41.88% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 58.12% (-0.96)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 77.19% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 22.82% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 43.47% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 56.53% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Hearts 36.6%
Draw 24.72%
Motherwell 38.68%
Hearts
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.81% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.66% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.41% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-98.26)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
Motherwell
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.68%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Obika 40' goal
  • Blair Spittal 46' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andy Halliday 45' goal
  • Andy Halliday 47' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Louis Moult 61'
  • goal Blair Spittal 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 17'
  • goal Alan Forrest 50'
  • goal Alan Forrest 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Joe Efford 3' goal
  • Callum Slattery 50' yellowcard
  • Ricki Lamie 56' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 9'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andy Halliday 37' goal
  • Ellis Simms 58' goal
  • Peter Haring 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 4'
  • yellowcard Sean Goss 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Connor Shields 23' goal
  • Ricki Lamie 66' goal
  • Tony Watt 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 48'
  • redcard Taylor Moore 64'