Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.