Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Celtic
Sunday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
46.43% ( 0.03)	26.29% ( -0.02)	27.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.81% (

0.06)

54.19% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.4% (

0.05)

75.59% (

-0.05)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

0.04)

23.31% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

0.05)

57.25% (

-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

0.02)

34.95% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

0.02)

71.69% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.43%

Kilmarnock 27.28%

Draw 26.29%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.43%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.28%