Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fir Park
  • Stephen O'Donnell 43' yellowcard
  • Brodie Spencer 52' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 57' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 59' goal
  • Harry Paton 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 71' yellowcard
  • Paul McGinn 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Paton 90'+8' goal
  • goal Marley Watkins 12'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 32'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 66'
  • yellowcard David Watson 73'

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 1 Hibernian
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Theo Bair

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result

Motherwell 46.43% (+0.03)
Draw 26.29% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 27.28% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 54.19% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.59% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.98% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.03)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 76.69% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.31% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.75% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.25% (-0.06)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 65.04% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.95% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.3% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.69% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.43%
Draw 26.29%
Kilmarnock 27.28%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.29%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Blair Spittal 4' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 90'+1' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 17' goal
  • goal Callum Slattery 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 22' goal
  • Callum Slattery 60' goal
  • goal Paul McGinn 73' (OG)
  • goal Liam Polworth 75'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 71' goal
  • Ash Taylor 76' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin van Veen 14'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 19'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Devante Cole 47' goal
  • Allan Campbell 77' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan McGinley 79' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 1' goal
  • Aaron McGowan 45' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 55' goal
  • Chris Burke 57' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 72' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 83' goal
  • goal Barry Maguire 8'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 42'