Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.