Club Brugge
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Fiorentina logo

Brugge
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Vanaken (20')
Ordonez (43'), Thiago (52'), Vetlesen (62'), Odoi (72'), Mechele (83'), Vanaken (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beltran (85' pen.)
Milenkovic (88'), Beltran (90'), Dodo (90+4'), Italiano (90+7'), N'Zola (90+6')
Odoi (1')

The Match

Match Report

Fiorentina progress to their second successive Europa Conference League final after beating Club Brugge 4-3 on aggregate in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Club Brugge and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawFiorentina
45.65% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)29.07% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (0.037000000000006 0.04)49.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (0.032999999999998 0.03)71.18% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43%54.57%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)30.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.056000000000004 0.06)67.2% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 45.64%
    Fiorentina 29.08%
    Draw 25.27%
Club BruggeDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.08%

How you voted: Brugge vs Fiorentina

Club Brugge
48.0%
Draw
24.6%
Fiorentina
27.4%
179
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
3-2
Brugge
Sottil (5'), Belotti (37'), N'Zola (90+1')
Gonzalez (36'), Martinez (70')
Vanaken (17' pen.), Thiago (63')
Onyedika (58'), Jackers (84')
Onyedika (61')
rhs 2.0


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