Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.