Serie A Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Cristiano Biraghi 13' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 50' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 47'
  • goal Rafael Leao 53'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 90'+3'

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 45.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.98% ▲ (+0.01)
AC Milan 30.55% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.73% ▲ (+0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.06%
Under 0.5 18.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.55%
Under 1.5 50.45% ▲ (+0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 45.47%
Draw 23.98%
AC Milan 30.55%
Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 45.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.98%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.55%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
AC Milan
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Theo Hernandez 45'+2' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 56' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 12'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 49' goal
  • Luka Jovic 87' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
AC Milan
Nov 13, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 2' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Antonin Barak 28'
Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 82' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 2'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 72'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Fiorentina
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Alfred Duncan 15' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 45'+1' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 60' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 85' goal
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 62'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
  • goal Lorenzo Venuti 90'+6' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
Mar 21, 2021 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Erick Pulgar 17' goal
  • Franck Ribery 51' goal
  • Cesare Prandelli 65' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouame 89' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 9'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 41'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 47'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 57'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 72'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 90'+2'

Form Data

Fiorentina 1 - 1 M. Haifa
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Roma
M. Haifa 3 - 4 Fiorentina
Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Lazio
Empoli 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
Slavia Prague 1 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Empoli
AC Milan 4 - 2 Slavia Prague
Lazio 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Atalanta