UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Sammy Ofer Stadium

M. Haifa
3 - 4
Fiorentina

(Fiorentina win 5-4 on aggregate)

Seck (12'), Kinda (29'), Khalaili (67')
Mohamed (10'), Dego (56'), Cafumana (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

N'Zola (2'), Beltran (58'), Mandragora (73'), Barak (90+5')
Italiano (45+2'), Kayode (84'), Milenkovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Maccabi Haifa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Haifa

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: M. Haifa 1-0 H. Hadera
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Fiorentina
34.32% ( -0.02)	26.76% ( 0)	38.91% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45% (

-0.02)

53.55% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-0.02)

75.06% (

0.02)

Maccabi Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-0.02)

29.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

-0.03)

65.61% (

0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

26.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

62.16% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Haifa 34.32%

Fiorentina 38.91%

Draw 26.76%

Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.32%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.91%