Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.