Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 16
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Afula Illit Stadium

H. Hadera
0 - 3
Beitar


Mabea (32'), Glazer (33'), Levy (74'), Twizer (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gotlieb (9'), Yona (78'), George (81')
Dahan (86')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Hadera and Beitar Jerusalem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 1-1 H. Hadera
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Beitar 1-1 Ashdod
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Hapoel HaderaDrawBeitar Jerusalem
26.07% (0.068999999999999 0.07)24.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)49.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51% (-0.122 -0.12)49% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.112 -0.11)71.08% (0.107 0.11)
Hapoel Hadera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Beitar Jerusalem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)19.97% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.155 -0.16)52.14% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Hadera 26.07%
    Beitar Jerusalem 49.13%
    Draw 24.78%
Hapoel HaderaDrawBeitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.13%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Beitar Jerusalem
2-0
Hapoel Hadera
Friday (58'), George (66')
Kriaf (25'), Dgani (38')

Coulibaly (57'), Madmon (90+3')