Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.