Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Maccabi Tel Aviv in this match.