Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Maccabi Tel Aviv
15.68% ( 0.04)	23.47% ( 0.14)	60.85% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 42.63% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27% (

-0.44)

55.73% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

-0.36)

76.87% (

0.36)

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.01% (

-0.21)

47.99% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.78% (

-0.15)

83.22% (

0.15)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0.22)

18.02% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

-0.38)

48.9% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv 15.68%

Maccabi Tel Aviv 60.84%

Draw 23.47%

Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.68%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 14.82% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 60.84%