Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-0 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.