Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.