Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.