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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
1 - 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Alefirenko (74')
Snurnitsyn (49')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Luckassen (7'), Peretz (26', 43')
Luckassen (56'), Cohen (86')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zorya Luhansk and Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Veres 2-2 Luhansk
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)20.97% (0.045000000000002 0.05)62.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)43.54% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (-0.168 -0.17)65.94% (0.17 0.17)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)38.97% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)75.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)13.49% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.49% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)40.5% (0.147 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 17%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 62.02%
    Draw 20.97%
Zorya LuhanskDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.97%
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 62.02%

How you voted: Luhansk vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Zorya Luhansk
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
83.3%
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