Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.