Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.