Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Polissya Zhytomyr in this match.