Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.