Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
0 - 3
Polissya


Chelyadin (15'), Sklyar (22'), Santana (56'), Stepanyuk (75'), (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kushnirenko (37' pen.), Makouana (54'), Shastal (90+1')
Kushnirenko (38'), Smoliakov (44')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-0 Vorskla
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, October 6 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
25.75% (-0.181 -0.18)25.46% (0.156 0.16)48.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (-0.756 -0.76)51.96% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.657 -0.66)73.7% (0.655 0.66)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)35% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-0.588 -0.59)71.75% (0.58699999999999 0.59)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.3 -0.3)21.31% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)54.26% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 25.75%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 48.78%
    Draw 25.45%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.116 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 48.78%