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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Kopavogsvollur

Breidablik
0 - 1
Luhansk

FT(HT: 0-1)
Horbach (35')
Snurnitsyn (65'), Myshnyov (65'), Vantukh (89'), Jordan (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Breidablik and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Breidablik

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-2 Breidablik
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-0 Luhansk
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
BreidablikDrawZorya Luhansk
40.11% (0.769 0.77)24.65% (-0.406 -0.41)35.23% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 58.82% (1.395 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (1.833 1.83)44.21% (-1.829 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (1.758 1.76)66.59% (-1.755 -1.76)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (1.188 1.19)22.02% (-1.185 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (1.766 1.77)55.34% (-1.763 -1.76)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.652 0.65)24.57% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (0.90600000000001 0.91)59.06% (-0.902 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 40.11%
    Zorya Luhansk 35.23%
    Draw 24.65%
BreidablikDrawZorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.178 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.442 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.135 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Breidablik vs Luhansk

Breidablik
47.1%
Draw
35.3%
Zorya Luhansk
17.6%
17