Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.