Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Petah Tikva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
35.19% ( -0.07)	27.18% ( 0.02)	37.63% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86% (

-0.1)

55.13% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

-0.08)

76.38% (

0.08)

Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.09)

29.82% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.11)

65.9% (

0.11)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

-0.02)

28.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

-0.02)

64.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Petah Tikva 35.18%

Beitar Jerusalem 37.62%

Draw 27.18%

Hapoel Petah Tikva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.18%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.62%

Form Guide

Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Be'er Sheva

Maccabi Netanya 4-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin

Beitar Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem 2-0 Hapoel Hadera

Ashdod 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Hapoel

Beitar Jerusalem 1-4 PAOK

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
Championship Round
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv M. Tel Aviv	32	22	7	3	66	25	41	73
2	Maccabi Haifa M. Haifa	32	21	7	4	69	23	46	68
3	Hapoel Be'er Sheva H. Be'er Sheva	32	18	4	10	51	28	23	58
4	Hapoel Haifa H. Haifa	32	16	5	11	44	42	2	53
5	Maccabi Bnei Raina M. Bnei Raina	32	11	10	11	35	37	-2	43
6	Bnei Sakhnin	32	8	14	10	30	40	-10	37
Relegation Round
1	Hapoel Jerusalem H. Jerusalem	31	11	7	13	34	36	-2	40
2	Maccabi Petah Tikva M. Petah Tikva	31	10	6	15	39	55	-16	36
3	Beitar Jerusalem Beitar	31	11	7	13	44	36	8	35
4	Maccabi Netanya M. Netanya	31	10	5	16	32	45	-13	35
5	Hapoel Hadera H. Hadera	31	9	6	16	26	47	-21	33
6	Ashdod	31	7	10	14	24	44	-20	31
7	Hapoel Tel Aviv H. Tel Aviv	31	7	10	14	34	49	-15	30
8	Hapoel Petah Tikva H. Petah Tikva	31	4	12	15	23	44	-21	24

Regular Season
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv M. Tel Aviv	26	19	5	2	55	20	35	62
2	Maccabi Haifa M. Haifa	26	17	6	3	55	18	37	55
3	Hapoel Be'er Sheva H. Be'er Sheva	26	15	4	7	45	19	26	49
4	Hapoel Haifa H. Haifa	26	14	5	7	38	32	6	47
5	Maccabi Bnei Raina M. Bnei Raina	26	8	10	8	27	26	1	34
6	Bnei Sakhnin	26	7	13	6	26	31	-5	33
7	Hapoel Jerusalem H. Jerusalem	26	8	7	11	28	33	-5	31
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva M. Petah Tikva	26	8	6	12	31	48	-17	30
9	Maccabi Netanya M. Netanya	26	8	4	14	29	41	-12	28
10	Hapoel Hadera H. Hadera	26	8	4	14	21	38	-17	28
11	Hapoel Tel Aviv H. Tel Aviv	26	6	9	11	29	37	-8	26
12	Beitar Jerusalem Beitar	26	8	6	12	34	34	0	25
13	Ashdod	26	5	7	14	20	42	-22	22
14	Hapoel Petah Tikva H. Petah Tikva	26	3	10	13	20	39	-19	19
					> Israeli Premier League Full Table

Hapoel Petah Tikva
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