Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.