Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.