Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.