Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Beitar Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.