Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.