Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 13
Dec 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Yud-Alef Stadium

Ashdod
1 - 3
Be'er Sheva

Botaka (6')
Mucha (13'), Levi (14'), Mamatah (64'), Khattab (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stoyanov (20'), Hatuel (69'), Sefer (87')
Stoyanov (37'), Gordana (60'), Eliasi (80'), Lopes (88')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Ashdod and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ashdod

All competitions
Last Game: Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Ashdod
Tuesday, December 26 at 5pm in Israeli Premier League

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

All competitions
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 4-0 Hapoel
Tuesday, December 26 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
AshdodDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
32.32% (-0.466 -0.47)27.55% (0.075999999999997 0.08)40.14% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.374 -0.37)56.96% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.301 -0.3)77.87% (0.303 0.3)
Ashdod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.512 -0.51)32.65% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.579 -0.58)69.19% (0.583 0.58)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)27.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.054000000000002 0.05)63.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ashdod 32.31%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 40.13%
    Draw 27.54%
AshdodDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.31%
1-1 @ 13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.13%