Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.