Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Petah Tikva win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.