Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 17, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium

Hapoel
2 - 0
Ashdod

Santos (65'), Melamed (69')
Bogani (13'), Kamara (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Robertson (1'), Awany (45'), Cuperman Coifman (83')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Haifa and Ashdod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hapoel 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Ashdod 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem
Monday, September 4 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.

Result
Hapoel HaifaDrawAshdod
49.1% (1.387 1.39)27.4% (-0.162 -0.16)23.5% (-1.227 -1.23)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-0.687 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.301 -0.3)60.59% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (-0.23 -0.23)80.68% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Hapoel Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.52800000000001 0.53)24.85% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.73 0.73)59.45% (-0.735 -0.73)
Ashdod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (-1.333 -1.33)41.86% (1.332 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-1.183 -1.18)78.31% (1.18 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Haifa 49.1%
    Ashdod 23.5%
    Draw 27.39%
Hapoel HaifaDrawAshdod
1-0 @ 14.48% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.411 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.5%