Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.