Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Beitar Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.