Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.