Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.