Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.