Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.