Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.