Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.