Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.