Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Bnei Sakhnin had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Bnei Sakhnin win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.