Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Tel Aviv would win this match.