Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.