Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.